The confinement and other measures taken to halt the advance
of the COVID-19 pandemic saved the lives of 59,000 people in 11 European
countries, a figure far higher than the current deaths, according to a British
study.
"With the measures applied so far (...) we estimate
that these measures will have prevented the death of 59,000 people in 11
countries until March 31," according to the study by researchers at
Imperial College London, a renowned university in the medical field.
These university professors specialized in epidemiology and
mathematics created a model on the dynamics of the pandemic in Europe and
estimated how contagion was halted with the different measures applied.
The initiatives taken into account are the quarantine of the
sick, the closing of schools and universities, the prohibition of meetings,
social distancing measures and general confinement.
These are theoretical models based on the fact that the same
measure has a comparable impact in the 11 European countries studied.
In Italy, the European country hardest hit by the pandemic
and the first to enact strict measures, the impact was also the strongest since
the study estimates the number of lives saved at 38,000, compared to the
current 11,000 deaths.
They are followed by Spain, with 16,000, which is double the
current deaths, and France, with 2,500, compared to more than 3,000 registered.
Next come Belgium (560), Germany (550), the United Kingdom (370), Switzerland
(340), Austria (140), Sweden (82), Denmark (69) and Norway (10).
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